Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.282637 0.331098 0.382357 0.440327 0.503782 0.570861 0.646860
2025-02-02 0.217402 0.283805 0.358737 0.448395 0.551618 0.665673 0.800165
2025-02-09 0.163343 0.238350 0.328600 0.442405 0.579402 0.736532 0.927911
2025-02-16 0.128756 0.209434 0.312539 0.448751 0.619022 0.820335 1.071854
2025-02-23 0.098746 0.180478 0.291641 0.445337 0.644370 0.886239 1.195284
2025-03-02 0.070835 0.148481 0.261759 0.426141 0.646802 0.922308 1.282000
2025-03-09 0.055986 0.132716 0.251610 0.431056 0.678797 0.994527 1.413376
2025-03-16 0.041143 0.113224 0.232985 0.421705 0.690106 1.039486 1.510535
2025-03-23 0.034806 0.107326 0.234104 0.439953 0.738626 1.132864 1.669990
2025-03-30 0.026576 0.095361 0.223661 0.439711 0.760687 1.191272 1.785002
2025-04-06 0.020339 0.085558 0.215301 0.441450 0.784805 1.252172 1.903525
2025-04-13 0.016253 0.079353 0.212282 0.450872 0.819686 1.327689 2.041769
2025-04-20 0.013279 0.075133 0.212652 0.466101 0.864149 1.418102 2.202545
2025-04-27 0.010736 0.071091 0.212788 0.480751 0.908005 1.508396 2.364472
2025-05-04 0.007453 0.062768 0.203139 0.478090 0.925399 1.562024 2.477919
2025-05-11 0.005573 0.058156 0.200420 0.486873 0.960137 1.640198 2.625147
2025-05-18 0.003624 0.051374 0.191820 0.484483 0.977142 1.693259 2.738686
2025-05-25 0.001750 0.041712 0.174582 0.464866 0.965895 1.705246 2.795749
2025-06-01 0.001079 0.038089 0.171205 0.470464 0.994630 1.774900 2.932553
2025-06-08 0.000440 0.032093 0.160348 0.460782 0.997956 1.807281 3.017761
2025-06-15 0.000305 0.031562 0.164334 0.480248 1.049447 1.910834 3.202984
2025-06-22 0.000106 0.027943 0.158716 0.480069 1.068135 1.966039 3.320917
2025-06-29 0.000024 0.024983 0.154338 0.481954 1.090080 2.026133 3.446070